Érase una vez un efecto Trump. Información en Internet y el tipo de cambio

Using official data (Banco de Mexico, INEGI) and large-scale information from the Internet (Google Trends, Twitter), a VAR model and Granger causality tests are used to model the behavior of the peso/dollar exchange rate. Trump’s online popularity, along with messages on Twitter regarding the relati...

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Détails bibliographiques
Auteurs principaux: Ibarra López, Ignacio, Cortés Moreno, Jorge David
Format: Online
Langue:espagnol
Éditeur: El Colegio de México, A.C. 2021
Sujets:
Accès en ligne:https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/423
Institution:

Estudios Económicos

Description
Résumé:Using official data (Banco de Mexico, INEGI) and large-scale information from the Internet (Google Trends, Twitter), a VAR model and Granger causality tests are used to model the behavior of the peso/dollar exchange rate. Trump’s online popularity, along with messages on Twitter regarding the relationship between Mexico and the United States, generated a feeling of concern which was reflected in the exchange rate, at least in the short term. The main learning derived from these findings is that the information generated in social networks allows us to know the behavior of fundamental economic variables.