Las preferencias de los electores y la importancia de las campañas en las elecciones mexicanas de 2006

This paper presents the econometric results that validate the relevance of an election campaign on the elector’s preferences change among the candidates. The preferences are defined from the declared voting intentions from two rounds of an enquiry panel on the 2006 Mexican presidential elections. Th...

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Détails bibliographiques
Auteurs principaux: Castañeda Ramos, Gonzalo, Ibarra, Ignacio
Format: Online
Langue:espagnol
Éditeur: El Colegio de México 2013
Sujets:
Accès en ligne:https://estudiossociologicos.colmex.mx/index.php/es/article/view/108
Institution:

Estudios Sociológicos

Description
Résumé:This paper presents the econometric results that validate the relevance of an election campaign on the elector’s preferences change among the candidates. The preferences are defined from the declared voting intentions from two rounds of an enquiry panel on the 2006 Mexican presidential elections. The estimated models support the hypothesis that local influence (political discussion networks) and the media influence (television’s audience, debates, negative campaigns) have a statistically significant impact on the voter’s preferences. Furthermore, it is shown that the impact on the change of the preferences is differentiated, whereas the social networks, media and partisan ideology/identity influence the very different forms for the adherents of the various candidates.