El efecto de los quiebres estructurales en la prueba de Engle-Granger para la cointegración

This paper extends Gonzalo and Lee’s (1998) results by studying the asymptotic and finite sample behavior of the Engle-Granger test for cointegration, under misspecification of the trend function in the form of neglected structural breaks. We allow breaks in level and slope of trend in both dependen...

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Détails bibliographiques
Auteurs principaux: Noriega, Antonio E., Ventosa Santaulária, Daniel
Format: Online
Langue:anglais
Éditeur: El Colegio de México, A.C. 2012
Sujets:
Accès en ligne:https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/94
Institution:

Estudios Económicos

Description
Résumé:This paper extends Gonzalo and Lee’s (1998) results by studying the asymptotic and finite sample behavior of the Engle-Granger test for cointegration, under misspecification of the trend function in the form of neglected structural breaks. We allow breaks in level and slope of trend in both dependent and explanatory variables. We also allow these processes to interact with I(1) processes without breaks. In some cases, breaks bias the EG test towards both rejecting a true cointegration relation, and not rejecting a non-existent one. Using real data, we present an empirical illustration of the theoretical results.