El efecto de los quiebres estructurales en la prueba de Engle-Granger para la cointegración

This paper extends Gonzalo and Lee’s (1998) results by studying the asymptotic and finite sample behavior of the Engle-Granger test for cointegration, under misspecification of the trend function in the form of neglected structural breaks. We allow breaks in level and slope of trend in both dependen...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Noriega, Antonio E., Ventosa Santaulária, Daniel
Formato: Online
Idioma:inglés
Editor: El Colegio de México, A.C. 2012
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/94
Revista:

Estudios Económicos

Descripción
Sumario:This paper extends Gonzalo and Lee’s (1998) results by studying the asymptotic and finite sample behavior of the Engle-Granger test for cointegration, under misspecification of the trend function in the form of neglected structural breaks. We allow breaks in level and slope of trend in both dependent and explanatory variables. We also allow these processes to interact with I(1) processes without breaks. In some cases, breaks bias the EG test towards both rejecting a true cointegration relation, and not rejecting a non-existent one. Using real data, we present an empirical illustration of the theoretical results.