Beneficios y costos económicos de las medidas de mitigación por el covid-19 en México
In this paper I calculate the daily flows of COVID-19 cases under the scenario of social distance and restricted economic activity implemented during the first months after the beginning of the epidemic, and under a counterfactual uncontrolled scenario with no mitigation measures. I estimate that so...
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| Formato: | Online |
| Idioma: | inglés |
| Editor: |
El Colegio de México, A.C.
2021
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| Acceso en línea: | https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/415 |
| Revista: |
Estudios Económicos |
| Sumario: | In this paper I calculate the daily flows of COVID-19 cases under the scenario of social distance and restricted economic activity implemented during the first months after the beginning of the epidemic, and under a counterfactual uncontrolled scenario with no mitigation measures. I estimate that social distance policies reduce the number of COVID-19 cases by 33%, saving over 292,000 lives. The benefits of these measures are monetized as 526 billion USD. Under a plausible economic recovery trajectory, I estimate that the net cost of mitigation in terms of output gap is equal to 35% of Mexico’s 2019 GDP. |
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