Vacas gordas y vacas flacas: la política fiscal y el balance estructural en México, 1990-2009

This study estimates the structural budget balance for the Mexican economy adjusting for both the business cycle and the international oil price for the period 1990-2009. Consistent with earlier studies, our results suggest that fiscal policy has been characterized as procyclical during most of the...

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主要作者: Chávez Martín del Campo, Juan Carlos, Rodríguez Vargas, Ricardo, Fonseca Hernández, Felipe de Jesús
格式: Online
語言:西班牙语
出版: El Colegio de México, A.C. 2010
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在線閱讀:https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/111
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Estudios Económicos

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author Chávez Martín del Campo, Juan Carlos
Rodríguez Vargas, Ricardo
Fonseca Hernández, Felipe de Jesús
author_facet Chávez Martín del Campo, Juan Carlos
Rodríguez Vargas, Ricardo
Fonseca Hernández, Felipe de Jesús
author_sort Chávez Martín del Campo, Juan Carlos
category_str_mv "Bolivia", "hyperinflation", "economic crisis", "Bolivia", "hiperinflación", "crisis económica"
collection OJS
description This study estimates the structural budget balance for the Mexican economy adjusting for both the business cycle and the international oil price for the period 1990-2009. Consistent with earlier studies, our results suggest that fiscal policy has been characterized as procyclical during most of the period. However, we find that it has been countercyclical since late 2008, although to a lesser degree than what indicates the traditional balance. Moreover, we simulate counterfactual scenarios where it is analyzed what would have happened if a fiscal rule were applied on both the structural and the traditional budget balances over the period under study.
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Terms_governing_use_and_reproduction_note Copyright (c) 2018 Estudios Económicos
data_source_entry/ISSN Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de México; 50-vol. 25, no. 2, july-december, 2010; 309-336
Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de México; 50-vol. 25, núm. 2, julio-diciembre, 2010; 309-336
0186-7202
0188-6916
spelling oai:oai.estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx:article-1112025-07-03T17:19:30Z Fat cows and lean cows: Fiscal policy and structural balance in Mexico, 1990-2009 Vacas gordas y vacas flacas: la política fiscal y el balance estructural en México, 1990-2009 Chávez Martín del Campo, Juan Carlos Rodríguez Vargas, Ricardo Fonseca Hernández, Felipe de Jesús public balance structural balance business cycles H61 H62 H63 E32 balance público balance estructural ciclos económicos H61 H62 H63 E32 This study estimates the structural budget balance for the Mexican economy adjusting for both the business cycle and the international oil price for the period 1990-2009. Consistent with earlier studies, our results suggest that fiscal policy has been characterized as procyclical during most of the period. However, we find that it has been countercyclical since late 2008, although to a lesser degree than what indicates the traditional balance. Moreover, we simulate counterfactual scenarios where it is analyzed what would have happened if a fiscal rule were applied on both the structural and the traditional budget balances over the period under study. Se estima el cálculo del balance estructural del sector público (BESP) para la economía mexicana de 1990 a 2009. Los resultados indican que, a pesar de que la política fiscal muestra un carácter procíclico durante la mayor parte del periodo estudiado, en el periodo reciente la política fiscal muestra un carácter netamente contracíclico, aunque menor al que indica el balance tradicional. Asimismo, se simula el efecto que hubiera tenido el haber adoptado una regla fiscal sobre el BESP y el balance tradicional durante el periodo de estudio.   El Colegio de México, A.C. 2010-07-01 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/111 10.24201/ee.v25i2.111 Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de México; 50-vol. 25, no. 2, july-december, 2010; 309-336 Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de México; 50-vol. 25, núm. 2, julio-diciembre, 2010; 309-336 0186-7202 0188-6916 spa https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/111/113 Copyright (c) 2018 Estudios Económicos
spellingShingle public balance
structural balance
business cycles
H61
H62
H63
E32
balance público
balance estructural
ciclos económicos
H61
H62
H63
E32
Chávez Martín del Campo, Juan Carlos
Rodríguez Vargas, Ricardo
Fonseca Hernández, Felipe de Jesús
Vacas gordas y vacas flacas: la política fiscal y el balance estructural en México, 1990-2009
title Vacas gordas y vacas flacas: la política fiscal y el balance estructural en México, 1990-2009
title_alt Fat cows and lean cows: Fiscal policy and structural balance in Mexico, 1990-2009
title_full Vacas gordas y vacas flacas: la política fiscal y el balance estructural en México, 1990-2009
title_fullStr Vacas gordas y vacas flacas: la política fiscal y el balance estructural en México, 1990-2009
title_full_unstemmed Vacas gordas y vacas flacas: la política fiscal y el balance estructural en México, 1990-2009
title_short Vacas gordas y vacas flacas: la política fiscal y el balance estructural en México, 1990-2009
title_sort vacas gordas y vacas flacas la politica fiscal y el balance estructural en mexico 1990 2009
topic public balance
structural balance
business cycles
H61
H62
H63
E32
balance público
balance estructural
ciclos económicos
H61
H62
H63
E32
topic_facet public balance
structural balance
business cycles
H61
H62
H63
E32
balance público
balance estructural
ciclos económicos
H61
H62
H63
E32
url https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/111
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AT fonsecahernandezfelipedejesus fatcowsandleancowsfiscalpolicyandstructuralbalanceinmexico19902009
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