El efecto de la incertidumbre en la inversión extranjera directa: el caso de México

This paper investigates the effect of uncertainty on FDI flows into the Mexican manufacturing sector during the period 2007-2015. Using a panel of manufacturing subsectors, we estimate a model by System GMM that includes domestic and external factors, as well as idiosyncratic and aggregate uncertain...

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Détails bibliographiques
Auteurs principaux: López Noria, Gabriela, Zamudio Fernández, Juan José
Format: Online
Langue:anglais
Éditeur: El Colegio de México, A.C. 2018
Sujets:
Accès en ligne:https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/355
Institution:

Estudios Económicos

Description
Résumé:This paper investigates the effect of uncertainty on FDI flows into the Mexican manufacturing sector during the period 2007-2015. Using a panel of manufacturing subsectors, we estimate a model by System GMM that includes domestic and external factors, as well as idiosyncratic and aggregate uncertainty measures as explicative variables. We also performsome simulations to assess the size of the uncertainty effect on FDI flows. The main results show that uncertainty discourages FDI flows into the Mexican manufacturing sector during this period. We also find that idiosyncratic uncertainty measures are more important in explaining FDI flows than aggregate uncertainty measures.