Pronósticos multivariados de poblaciones con series de tiempo: el caso de la ZMCM contrastado con datos del Censo 2010

This article uses multivariate time series to show that it is feasible to undertake population forecasts using this perspective and shows how they are satisfactory according to data from the Population and Housing Census 2010 for the Mexico City Metropolitan Zone (MCMZ). It explains the methodology...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autores principales: Silva, Eliud, Ordorica, Manuel
Formato: Online
Idioma:espanhol
Editor: El Colegio de México A.C. 2013
Assuntos:
Acesso em linha:https://estudiosdemograficosyurbanos.colmex.mx/index.php/edu/article/view/1442
Recursos:

Estudios Demográficos y Urbanos

Descrição
Resumo:This article uses multivariate time series to show that it is feasible to undertake population forecasts using this perspective and shows how they are satisfactory according to data from the Population and Housing Census 2010 for the Mexico City Metropolitan Zone (MCMZ). It explains the methodology used to make predictions based on disaggregating techniques, adjustments and multivariate forecast estimates. The methodological tools capable of making effective forecasts are regarded as essential to developing a wide range of public programs whose primary goal is sustainable development.